{
  "code_tree_hash": "code:45d164ec7f6effe9c615daa87c0b13bd",
  "created_at": "2026-07-18T23:46:57.951556+00:00",
  "external_registration": "manual:pending",
  "git_sha": "f93f4b5578c221d3d2665f9b305f3e86759be862",
  "power_acceptances": [
    {
      "card": "ERR-RB2",
      "mde": 0.06812641830798699,
      "note": "delta-AUROC point call at its own 0.03 threshold under the label-shuffle refit null (null sd 0.0235, null pass rate at threshold 0.2013); the registered CI exclusion carries size control and deltas at or above the MDE confirm at 80 percent",
      "power": 0.23125
    },
    {
      "card": "FORECAST-CAT",
      "mde": 0.038059858890396744,
      "note": "P(observed MAE beats the no-skill null's 5 percent boundary 0.048 | true MAE at the frozen 0.06), 6 categories; a no-skill forecast passes the frozen bound itself 0.100 of the time, and true MAEs at or below 0.038 detect at 80 percent",
      "power": 0.28
    },
    {
      "card": "PPE-BON",
      "mde": 0.6415776339344047,
      "note": "Fisher-z detection of the frozen 0.3 against the null-critical 0.46  over n = 15 (model, set) points; the permutation null passes the frozen 0.3 0.17 of the time, the registered CI exclusion carries size control, and effects at or above 0.64 confirm at 80 percent",
      "power": 0.2632567168557606
    },
    {
      "card": "CHI-DRIFT",
      "mde": 0.9089936220859783,
      "note": "split-bank estimator: chi and drift read disjoint prompt halves, so the null re-centers at zero, but the correlation's exchangeable unit is k = 6 features and the null still passes the frozen 0.3 threshold 0.28 of the time; the registered CI exclusion carries size control and only orderings near the synthetic calibration (0.958) clear the 0.91 MDE",
      "power": 0.12733167506039372
    },
    {
      "card": "FORENSIC-RECEIPT",
      "mde": 0.674,
      "note": "fraction of positive grader contrasts at n = 5 graders: the frozen 0.5 sits at the null center, the point call passes under the null 0.51 of the time, and 80 percent confirmation needs per-grader positive-contrast probability 0.67, the s15-plant regime (calibration 0.993)",
      "power": 0.51
    },
    {
      "card": "ATLAS-VCE",
      "mde": 0.0008737100129785994,
      "note": "the vce > 0 margin sits at the null center by construction: the point call passes under the null 0.48 of the time and its power at the threshold-alternative equals that rate; the alpha-exact p-value companion and the registered CI exclusion carry the card's evidence",
      "power": 0.48375
    },
    {
      "card": "FACT-KUI",
      "mde": 0.29462782549439476,
      "note": "fleet-median star KUI at n = 10 models over a 6-property battery; the property-random null passes the frozen 0.2 0.03 of the time, the K-kui permutation kill carries size control, and medians at or above 0.29 confirm at 80 percent",
      "power": 0.59625
    },
    {
      "card": "EMB-LORA",
      "mde": 2.6046444384205287,
      "note": "entry-ratio point call at the frozen > 1.0, the null median: power equals the null pass rate 0.501, ratios at or above 2.60 confirm at 80 percent, and the s07 plant sits far above that; passes only through the explicit accept-underpowered path",
      "power": 0.50125
    }
  ],
  "spec_hashes": [
    "spec:c8ac36e72adcc96a3d65b802efbce423",
    "spec:39a99a5ab61d6f8e744a40b3804d21ab",
    "spec:59c457674b4b4f6fc20df702d3e34785",
    "spec:7077cf849ed8492fc327d970aa2ede55",
    "spec:0023527a360de5b616a0aa5a7bb6c3cf",
    "spec:1c12042d2eeb93b23ff9cf27b6433125",
    "spec:ec094a501eddd55553e7007466395ee3",
    "spec:ea2895223ef2f6d73b9b384be75a37c7",
    "spec:092fef0fc58c288b71ea361dce7b5738",
    "spec:ced8526cafe47e6f1efe7c6a7ed9d04a",
    "spec:98769c52f2669fc0e08b554b07393a0b",
    "spec:616bec72ae5ab5714b01adaef378aba9",
    "spec:a8172c8c8f19fef678f524a80564dadc",
    "spec:2a1ead40948d8a58ae00bf095cad321f",
    "spec:e0aa318bf24297c18530a2ad9c805bf3",
    "spec:2008bee7d02b9461abfd6f12ff7b0ffe",
    "spec:dcdc401fbbe744065b8f175de0384372",
    "spec:9fc6a4346dcd4ba18e2d12391971c413",
    "spec:3671c68e023554a042cd340ae8dded8e",
    "spec:7206aa3a670d99eb3640c3230ce3b7fb",
    "spec:119143a118781b223e14c8cf1ce1c560",
    "spec:31f5b67bc4168dab4b55ec6a9a588279",
    "spec:8a5635a89a8d5730a7f4d11300db9cd9",
    "spec:3ecef7c08cb489d49083f607184717bc",
    "spec:b8659763ad1e9bf0ca0fa9a1c98fc29b",
    "spec:4133c488b46f80ee553b992c7ddbb794",
    "spec:f27fb97dc1e2b1a8b5d7d467da898e0b"
  ],
  "study_ids": [
    "study:campaign-err-rb2@v1#c8ac36e7",
    "study:campaign-forecast-cat@v1#39a99a5a",
    "study:campaign-style-rmb@v1#59c45767",
    "study:campaign-ppe-bon@v1#7077cf84",
    "study:campaign-ladder@v1#0023527a",
    "study:campaign-chi-drift@v1#1c12042d",
    "study:campaign-hump@v1#ec094a50",
    "study:campaign-gauge-e19@v1#ea289522",
    "study:campaign-gauge-xfam@v1#092fef0f",
    "study:campaign-hack-fore@v1#ced8526c",
    "study:campaign-surgery@v1#98769c52",
    "study:campaign-verif-prm@v1#616bec72",
    "study:campaign-judge-vbc@v1#a8172c8c",
    "study:campaign-values-contest@v1#2a1ead40",
    "study:campaign-forensic-receipt@v1#e0aa318b",
    "study:campaign-atlas-vce@v1#2008bee7",
    "study:campaign-fact-kui@v1#dcdc401f",
    "study:campaign-capacity-welch@v1#9fc6a434",
    "study:campaign-eval-aware@v1#3671c68e",
    "study:campaign-topo-hodge@v1#7206aa3a",
    "study:campaign-emb-lora@v1#119143a1",
    "study:campaign-cal-transfer@v1#31f5b67b",
    "study:campaign-adj-avp@v1#8a5635a8",
    "study:campaign-conf-partial@v1#3ecef7c0",
    "study:campaign-meta-ledger@v1#b8659763",
    "study:campaign-decomp@v1#4133c488",
    "study:campaign-field-flat@v1#f27fb97d"
  ],
  "tag": "campaign-freeze-v1"
}