FORENSIC-RECEIPT S15 · Trajectory forensics and the economics of grading

Skepticism and receipt reliance predict who rewards fabricated receipts

Refuted K-forensic fired

frozen 2026-07-18 · adjudicated 2026-07-19 · ev:426a8cbed7f6d6dfb61d8fe3ed5264a4 · spec:e0aa318bf2429

The frozen predictions

  1. H-reliance the two group contrasts separate graders as their planted values would
    reliance_recovery > 0.5 registered p 0.6 reliance_recovery Subject FORENSIC-RECEIPT Threshold > 0.5 Trust Adjudicated Evidence ev:426a8cbed7f6d6dfb61d8fe3ed5264a4 Refuted
  2. H-credulity the omission-credulity gap is real on constructed triples
    omission_credulity_gap > 0.2 omission_credulity_gap Value 0.023256328422645356 Subject FORENSIC-RECEIPT Threshold > 0.2 Trust Adjudicated Evidence ev:426a8cbed7f6d6dfb61d8fe3ed5264a4 Refuted

K-forensic fired on skepticism_effect < 0.1 , observed 0.02326 : the disclosure-game framing adds nothing over raw reliance; the shipped S15 kill. A fired kill criterion is a registered negative result, not a failure of the machinery.

Adjudication figure for FORENSIC-RECEIPT
FORENSIC-RECEIPT fired its kill criterion (K-forensic); the registered negative result.

Registered companions

Subjects and artifacts