SURGERY S12 · Hackability forecasting and certified prevention

Certified erasure removes the exploit without benchmark loss

Mixed

frozen 2026-07-18 · adjudicated 2026-07-19 · ev:41058731abf1d0b1590d4f2286e8771c · spec:98769c52f2669

The frozen predictions

  1. H-erase LEACE erasure of the flagged direction removes the exploit
    exploit_drift_reduction > 0.8 registered p 0.5 exploit_drift_reduction Value 0.8856159449336694 Subject SURGERY Threshold > 0.8 Trust Adjudicated Evidence ev:41058731abf1d0b1590d4f2286e8771c Confirmed
  2. H-retain benchmark accuracy is retained through the erasure
    rb2_accuracy_delta_after_erasure > -0.01 rb2_accuracy_delta_after_erasure Value -0.39875212705615426 Subject SURGERY Threshold > -0.01 Trust Adjudicated Evidence ev:41058731abf1d0b1590d4f2286e8771c Refuted
Adjudication figure for SURGERY
SURGERY against its frozen predictions: mixed.

Registered companions

Subjects and artifacts

  • signals: hackfore-flagged
  • datasets: hack-probes , rb2-full
  • frozen spec: campaign-surgery.json
  • figure files: light · dark
  • study id: study:campaign-surgery@v1#98769c52