CAL-TRANSFER S1 · Ground truth and calibration

Instrument calibration transfers from CPU toy trunks to a real 0.6B trunk

Refuted K-transfer fired

frozen 2026-07-18 · adjudicated 2026-07-19 · ev:b37f71c015ebfd697d7deb2a7efb5f7e · spec:31f5b67bc4168

The frozen predictions

  1. H-transfer instrument scorecard AUCs on a real 0.6B trunk match the CPU-organism AUCs within 0.15
    max_abs_auc_difference < 0.15 interval prediction max_abs_auc_difference Value 0.41898333333333326 Subject CAL-TRANSFER Threshold < 0.15 Trust Adjudicated Evidence ev:b37f71c015ebfd697d7deb2a7efb5f7e Refuted

K-transfer fired on max_abs_auc_difference >= 0.15 , observed 0.419 : calibration does not transfer toy-to-real; RESULTS opens with this and six cards drop a rung. A fired kill criterion is a registered negative result, not a failure of the machinery.

Adjudication figure for CAL-TRANSFER
CAL-TRANSFER fired its kill criterion (K-transfer); the registered negative result.

Registered companions

  • per_instrument_auc_differences per_instrument_auc_differences Value 0.29402604166666657 Subject CAL-TRANSFER Trust Adjudicated Evidence ev:b37f71c015ebfd697d7deb2a7efb5f7e

Subjects and artifacts