ADJ-AVP S1 · Ground truth and calibration

Attribution versus patching, adjudicated against planted ground truth

Refuted K-avp fired

frozen 2026-07-18 · adjudicated 2026-07-19 · ev:a34457e83cd4eec10d080804a2533e82 · spec:8a5635a89a8d5

The frozen predictions

  1. H-avp patching's ranking matches the organism's marker-responsive components (the twin-activation-delta answer key) better than attribution's
    recovery_gap > 0 registered p 0.65 recovery_gap Value -0.5660377358490566 Subject ADJ-AVP Threshold > 0 Trust Adjudicated Evidence ev:a34457e83cd4eec10d080804a2533e82 Refuted

K-avp fired on recovery_gap_ci_low <= 0 , observed -0.7736 : the two instruments are statistically tied against the marker-response key on the organism; neither localization can be preferred, undercutting every attribution-based number (a noisy key, visible in the emitted margin distribution, is the disclosed alternative reading). A fired kill criterion is a registered negative result, not a failure of the machinery.

Adjudication figure for ADJ-AVP
ADJ-AVP fired its kill criterion (K-avp); the registered negative result.

Registered companions

Subjects and artifacts