CONF-PARTIAL S1 · Ground truth and calibration

Do the indices carry information beyond size, accuracy, and lineage

Mixed

frozen 2026-07-18 · adjudicated 2026-07-19 · ev:491f7f378d0b58dfdadebc9aaee7c983 · spec:3ecef7c08cb48

The frozen predictions

  1. H-partial-perm the surviving index clears its permutation null
    best_index_perm_p < 0.05 registered p 0.5 best_index_perm_p Value 0.046795320467953205 Subject CONF-PARTIAL Threshold < 0.05 Trust Adjudicated Evidence ev:491f7f378d0b58dfdadebc9aaee7c983 Confirmed
  2. H-partial at least one load-bearing index retains a partial correlation above 0.3 after the size-and-accuracy control
    max_abs_partial_corr > 0.3 max_abs_partial_corr Value 0.6484848484848483 Subject CONF-PARTIAL Threshold > 0.3 Trust Adjudicated Evidence ev:491f7f378d0b58dfdadebc9aaee7c983 Confirmed
  3. H-partial-lineage the surviving index also survives the within-lineage check
    lineage_check_pass == 1 lineage_check_pass Subject CONF-PARTIAL Threshold == 1 Trust Adjudicated Evidence ev:491f7f378d0b58dfdadebc9aaee7c983 Refuted
Adjudication figure for CONF-PARTIAL
CONF-PARTIAL against its frozen predictions: mixed.

Subjects and artifacts