CAPACITY-WELCH S5 · Capacity theory of bias
Dark reward tracks the criteria-to-dimension ratio; ArmoRM respects the Welch floor
Mixed
frozen 2026-07-18 · adjudicated 2026-07-19 · ev:f9e6a003a5a1e0aa0fe3ff1eca0d9c7b · spec:9fc6a4346dcd4
The frozen predictions
- H-dark-kdeff dark reward grows with the criteria-to-effective-dimension ratio
dark_reward_kdeff_spearman > 0.6registered p 0.5 dark_reward_kdeff_spearman Value -0.4061811972299616 Subject CAPACITY-WELCH Threshold > 0.6 Trust Adjudicated Evidenceev:f9e6a003a5a1e0aa0fe3ff1eca0d9c7bRefuted - H-capacity-perm the fleet correlation clears its permutation null
capacity_perm_p < 0.05capacity_perm_p Value 0.8934106589341065 Subject CAPACITY-WELCH Threshold < 0.05 Trust Adjudicated Evidenceev:f9e6a003a5a1e0aa0fe3ff1eca0d9c7bRefuted - H-welch the ArmoRM 19-head coherence matrix respects the Welch floor
welch_floor_min_slack >= 0welch_floor_min_slack Value 0.8163979052568419 Subject CAPACITY-WELCH Threshold >= 0 Trust Adjudicated Evidenceev:f9e6a003a5a1e0aa0fe3ff1eca0d9c7bConfirmed