LADDER S3 · Reward thermodynamics
Same-recipe scale ladder with frozen 8B extrapolation
Mixed
frozen 2026-07-18 · adjudicated 2026-07-19 · ev:d746d48eef7a5630cecbd3e97a9d9cb8 · spec:0023527a360de
The frozen predictions
- H-ladder-coverage at least 2 of 3 capture-only internal quantities land in their pre-frozen 8B intervals
ladder_8b_metrics_in_interval >= 2registered p 0.65 ladder_8b_metrics_in_interval Subject LADDER Threshold >= 2 Trust Adjudicated Evidenceev:d746d48eef7a5630cecbd3e97a9d9cb8Confirmed - H-ladder-beats-flat the extrapolation beats a no-trend (equal-to-4B) baseline
ladder_extrap_minus_flat_error < 0ladder_extrap_minus_flat_error Value 0.6002275013086775 Subject LADDER Threshold < 0 Trust Adjudicated Evidenceev:d746d48eef7a5630cecbd3e97a9d9cb8Refuted
Registered companions
-
ladder_extrap_minus_flat_error_ci_lowladder_extrap_minus_flat_error_ci_low Value -0.5311824800459731 Subject LADDER Trust Adjudicated Evidenceev:d746d48eef7a5630cecbd3e97a9d9cb8 -
ladder_extrap_minus_flat_error_ci_highladder_extrap_minus_flat_error_ci_high Value 2.4359016583798008 Subject LADDER Trust Adjudicated Evidenceev:d746d48eef7a5630cecbd3e97a9d9cb8 -
ladder_8b_crystallization_in_intervalladder_8b_crystallization_in_interval Subject LADDER Trust Adjudicated Evidenceev:d746d48eef7a5630cecbd3e97a9d9cb8 -
ladder_8b_chi_teacher_in_intervalladder_8b_chi_teacher_in_interval Subject LADDER Trust Adjudicated Evidenceev:d746d48eef7a5630cecbd3e97a9d9cb8 -
ladder_8b_snr_in_intervalladder_8b_snr_in_interval Subject LADDER Trust Adjudicated Evidenceev:d746d48eef7a5630cecbd3e97a9d9cb8
