reward-lens

Capacity theory of bias

Dark reward tracks the criteria-to-dimension ratio; ArmoRM respects the Welch floor

mixed registered

The reading

  1. dark reward grows with the criteria-to-effective-dimension ratio

    dark_reward_kdeff_spearman > 0.6 0.5 Dark reward tracks the criteria-to-dimension ratio; ArmoRM respects the Welch floor mixed registered > 0.6 The frozen study "Dark reward tracks the criteria-to-dimension ratio; ArmoRM respects the Welch floor", adjudicated on 19 July 2026 at the registered level of the project's evidence ladder. One frozen study, adjudicated once, on fleet and armorm, over rb2-full. It does not establish that the same holds on another subject, another dataset or another run. Open the record › refuted

  2. the fleet correlation clears its permutation null

    capacity_perm_p < 0.05 Dark reward tracks the criteria-to-dimension ratio; ArmoRM respects the Welch floor mixed registered < 0.05 The frozen study "Dark reward tracks the criteria-to-dimension ratio; ArmoRM respects the Welch floor", adjudicated on 19 July 2026 at the registered level of the project's evidence ladder. One frozen study, adjudicated once, on fleet and armorm, over rb2-full. It does not establish that the same holds on another subject, another dataset or another run. Open the record › refuted

  3. the ArmoRM 19-head coherence matrix respects the Welch floor

    welch_floor_min_slack >= 0 Dark reward tracks the criteria-to-dimension ratio; ArmoRM respects the Welch floor mixed registered >= 0 The frozen study "Dark reward tracks the criteria-to-dimension ratio; ArmoRM respects the Welch floor", adjudicated on 19 July 2026 at the registered level of the project's evidence ladder. One frozen study, adjudicated once, on fleet and armorm, over rb2-full. It does not establish that the same holds on another subject, another dataset or another run. Open the record › confirmed

CAPACITY-WELCH against its frozen predictions: mixed.
CAPACITY-WELCH against its frozen predictions: mixed.

Provenance

card
CAPACITY-WELCH
frozen_at
adjudicated_at
spec_hash
spec:9fc6a4346dcd4ba18e2d12391971c413
study_id
study:campaign-capacity-welch@v1#9fc6a434
Evidence records
f9e6a003a5a1e0aa0fe3ff1eca0d9c7b
spec_file
campaign-capacity-welch.json